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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 11/25/2023

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 88th percentile.

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Clippers's terrific 38.9% rate of sunk threes while playing on the road rates 6th-best in the NBA this year.

The 4th-fastest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the LA Clippers.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league at home this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the LA Clippers.

This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have snagged 10.1 offensive boards per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks (losing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 20.9 mark, James Harden's points per game have diminished this season to 15.1.

James Harden has attempted just 5.4 3-pointers per game this year, quite a bit less than his 7.3 mark last year.

Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting PGs have notched 15.8 points per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive performance.

The LA Clippers have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

James Harden has attempted a mere 5.0 foul shots per game this year, significantly lower than his 6.0 rate last year.

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