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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, James Harden comes in at the 95th percentile for three-pointers scored, tallying 2.7 per game since the start of last season.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, James Harden measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 36.4 minutes per game while on his home court since the start of last season.
  • The LA Clippers rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
  • James Harden has successfully made 5.1 foul shots per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have attempted 4.6 foul shots per game (27th-most in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have averaged 5.1 three attempts per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, branding this as a hard matchup.
  • The Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA as the road team this year.
  • The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Nuggets).
  • Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have collected 11.0 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).
  • James Harden figures to suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats as a result of playing away from hom in this game.

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