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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 11/10/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-112/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has sunk 2.8 three-point shots per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • James Harden has been on the court for 36.6 minutes per game on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
  • When it comes to 3-pointers, the LA Clippers's outstanding 37.6% rate of converted threes places 4th-most in the NBA since the start of last season.
  • This matchup is a hard one for 3-pointers; the other team has compiled the 6th-lowest three rate in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (32.7%).
  • Since the start of last season, opposing starting SGs have notched 17.8 points per game (21st-most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive output.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Clippers.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Clippers rank 9thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 9.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has brought down 11.4 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks (saving possessions that can spark additional chances for offense).
  • James Harden is expected to experience a decrease in productivity in all stat categories as a result of playing away from hom in this game.

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