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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 5/11/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has posted 26.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's posted over the course of the season.

James Harden has averaged 36.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 99th percentile.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

James Harden has successfully made 6.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made overall this season.

The matchup against the Celtics may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (30th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Harden has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed overall this year.

The matchup vs. Boston is a challenging one for field goals; when the Celtics are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have shot for the 14th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (40.6%).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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