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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 5/9/2023

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has scored 26.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's scored over the course of the season.
  • James Harden has made 3.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.
  • James Harden has averaged 35.5 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Celtics is a favorable one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 5 games (29.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • James Harden has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's committed overall this season.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games.
  • The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the 76ers.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • James Harden will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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