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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 5/7/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has attempted 18.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

James Harden has converted 2.8 three-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.

James Harden has been on the court for 36.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Celtics is a positive one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 5 games (28.2).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Harden has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Celtics have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

The Celtics have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

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