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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 5/3/2023

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has attempted 19.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

James Harden has attempted 9.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

James Harden has averaged 35.6 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.

The matchup against the Celtics is a strong one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 5 games (36.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Harden has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Celtics have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

James Harden will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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