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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has attempted 16.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.

James Harden has averaged 35.6 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road.

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 24th-most buckets per game in the NBA this year (6.8).

The Bucks have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise possessions for the 76ers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Jrue Holiday is a hard one for shots from the field; when Holiday is playing at home and facing fellow starting PGs this year, they have successfully made a measly 40.9% of their field goal attempts (10th percentile).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Bucks have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Jrue Holiday is a difficult one for drawing fouls; when matched up against opposing starting PGs this year, they have attempted a lowly 3.3 foul shots per game (10th percentile).

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