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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has averaged 21.0 points per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- among the league's best by this standard.
  • James Harden has attempted 7.3 treys per game this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • James Harden has played 36.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The Raptors have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against the Raptors is a hard one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 15th-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (12.4).
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court.
  • The Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the 76ers.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • James Harden has attempted a mere 6.5 free throws per game this year, quite a bit less than his 7.9 mark last year.

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