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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 3/6/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has averaged 21.5 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 94th percentile.
  • James Harden has attempted 6.8 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league.
  • James Harden has played 37.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 99th percentile.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
  • The matchup against the Pacers is a strong one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 30th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (45.7%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Pacers have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against Indiana may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Pacers are playing at home (12th-least in the league).
  • James Harden will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to decreases player production for all stats.

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