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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has averaged 21.5 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 94th percentile.
  • James Harden has attempted 6.8 3-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league.
  • James Harden has averaged 37.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
  • The matchup against the Mavericks is a strong one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have shot for the 26th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (36.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against Dallas may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.2 free throws per game over the last 20 games when the Mavericks are at home (8th-least in the NBA).
  • James Harden will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player performance for all stats.

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