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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 3/1/2023

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-106/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has averaged 21.5 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 94th percentile.

James Harden has attempted 6.8 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.

James Harden has averaged 37.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one for scoring; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 15th-least shots made from the field per game in the league this year (5.4).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

James Harden will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

More James Harden Player Props

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