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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has averaged 19.9 points per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.

James Harden has attempted 6.5 treys per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

James Harden has averaged 37.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 99th percentile.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home.

James Harden has attempted 7.4 free throws per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Celtics is a challenging one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 13th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (40.5%).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which ought to decrease plays for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Without the home court advantage, the Celtics have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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