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James Harden

James Harden Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/29/2023

Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers

James Harden Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, James Harden rates in the 78th percentile for three-point performance with a a phenomenal 40.3% rate this year.

The Clippers will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Kings).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

The Kings have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last season's 7.3 clip, James Harden's three-point attempts have been reduced this season to 5.5 per game.

James Harden has been on the court for a mere 32.4 minutes per game this year, significantly lower than his 36.7 minutes per game last year.

James Harden has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this season.

The LA Clippers have been the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court with respect to 3-point attempts.

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Sacramento Kings have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 8th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.5).

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