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James Harden

James Harden Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/25/2023

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

James Harden Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-195).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -195 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 88th percentile.

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Clippers's terrific 38.9% rate of sunk threes while playing on the road rates 6th-best in the NBA this year.

The 4th-fastest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the LA Clippers.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league at home this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the LA Clippers.

This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have snagged 10.1 offensive boards per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks (losing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, James Harden lands in the 25th percentile for three-point effectiveness at home with a a feeble 20.2% rate since the start of last season.

James Harden has attempted just 5.4 3-pointers per game this year, quite a bit less than his 7.3 mark last year.

James Harden has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.8 more than he's tallied overall this season on the road.

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have averaged 1.6 three-pointers per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, resulting in a challenging matchup.

The LA Clippers have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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