James Harden Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2025

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James Harden

NBA · Player Props

James Harden

G · LA Clippers

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers · May 3, 2025

Updated May 3, 2025 11:33 PM UTC

Analysis

James Harden Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

James Harden has totaled 9.0 assists per game over the last 15 games when playing on the road, 1.0 higher than he's totaled in all games this year on the road.
James Harden has played 40.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 higher than he's played over the course of the year.

Favors Under

The least up-tempo tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the LA Clippers.
The LA Clippers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds save possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Clippers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with only 8.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
James Harden will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to decrease player performance for all stats.

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