James Harden Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2025

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James Harden

NBA · Player Props

James Harden

G · LA Clippers

Assists

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets · May 1, 2025

Updated May 2, 2025 1:53 AM UTC

Analysis

James Harden Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

James Harden has averaged 11.2 assists per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.8 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home.
Among all players in the NBA, James Harden measures in the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 34.9 minutes per game at home this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
James Harden will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

The 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the LA Clippers.
The LA Clippers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

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