James Harden Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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James Harden

NBA · Player Props

James Harden

G · LA Clippers

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 3:59 AM UTC

Analysis

James Harden Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

James Harden has posted 9.2 assists per game over the last 10 games when playing away from home, 1.2 higher than he's posted in all games this year on the road.
Out of all players in the NBA, James Harden comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 35.1 minutes per game this year.

Favors Under

The 6th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Clippers.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Clippers.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Clippers rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
James Harden will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally lowers player production for all stats.

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