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James Harden

James Harden Assists
Player Prop - 4/5/2025

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
James Harden Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has tallied 8.5 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 99th percentile.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, James Harden comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 34.6 minutes per game on his home court this year.
  • The LA Clippers are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
  • James Harden will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually increases player production in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the LA Clippers.
  • The Clippers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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