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James Harden

James Harden Assists
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
James Harden Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has tallied 33.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which should increase possessions for the Clippers.
  • The Clippers check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • James Harden has put up a mere 7.6 assists per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 10.3 assists per game last season.
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year.
  • This year, their opposition has nabbed 11.8 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks (lengthening possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense).
  • James Harden figures to suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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