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James Harden

James Harden Assists
Player Prop - 12/16/2023

LA Clippers vs New York Knicks

 
 
 
James Harden Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has compiled 9.8 assists per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.8 higher than he's compiled overall this season at home.
  • James Harden has averaged 33.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 91st percentile.
  • The LA Clippers have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 13 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The New York Knicks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • James Harden figures to get a boost in production in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.
  • The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the LA Clippers.

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