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James Harden

James Harden Assists
Player Prop - 5/3/2023

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

James Harden Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has compiled 10.5 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 100th percentile.

James Harden has averaged 35.6 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

While playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Harden has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Celtics have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

James Harden will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

More James Harden Player Props

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