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James Harden

James Harden Assists
Player Prop - 5/1/2023

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

 
 
 
James Harden Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has posted 10.5 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 100th percentile.
  • James Harden has played 35.5 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
  • The Celtics have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to increase possessions for the 76ers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • While playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
  • James Harden will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production across the board.

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