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James Harden

James Harden Assists
Player Prop - 4/6/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
James Harden Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has averaged 36.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
  • The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • James Harden will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to raises player production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • James Harden has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (79th percentile).
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the 76ers.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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