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James Harden

James Harden Assists
Player Prop - 3/1/2023

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers

 
 
 
James Harden Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has put up 10.0 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 100th percentile.
  • James Harden has averaged 37.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
  • The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • James Harden has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (77th percentile).
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
  • James Harden will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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