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James Harden

James Harden Assists
Player Prop - 2/27/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat

James Harden Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has put up 10.0 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 100th percentile.

James Harden has tallied 37.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.

When playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

James Harden will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally increases player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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