Jamal Shead Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2025

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Jamal Shead

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Shead

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 12, 2025

Updated Mar 13, 2025 2:30 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Shead Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Shead has attempted 9.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Jamal Shead has tallied 24.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 39.9% on 3-pointers (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, making this a strong matchup.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out best in in the league with 16.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Jamal Shead has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 24.1% more than he's put through the net in all games this year when playing at home.

Favors Under

Jamal Shead has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
When it comes to shooting, the Toronto Raptors's unimpressive 110.6 points per game while playing at home comes in as the 4th-weakest in the league over the last 25 games.
The 8th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Raptors.
The Raptors will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).

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