Jamal Shead Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2025

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Jamal Shead

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Shead

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards · Mar 8, 2025

Updated Mar 9, 2025 5:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Shead Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Shead has attempted 4.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this season.
This year, opposing starting PGs have posted 20.2 points per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Washington Wizards, creating a favorable matchup for offensive performance.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Jamal Shead has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 24.1% higher than he's converted in all games this year at home.
The matchup vs. the Wizards is a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 4.0 foul shots per game this year (10th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Jamal Shead has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The 6th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Raptors.
The Wizards have played at the 8th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to reduce plays for the Raptors.

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