Jamal Shead Points - Player Prop Bet 2/21/2025

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Jamal Shead

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Shead

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Feb 21, 2025

Updated Feb 22, 2025 2:34 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Shead Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Shead has attempted 7.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Jamal Shead has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 31.0% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year on his home court.
Jamal Shead should see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories considering holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Raptors have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The 7th-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors will likely see a decline in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Heat).

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