Jamal Shead Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

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Jamal Shead

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Shead

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 28, 2025 2:30 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Shead Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Shead has successfully made 41.9% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games at home, 9.3% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while on his home court.
The Raptors will likely get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
The Raptors have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jamal Shead has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 27.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
Jamal Shead ought to see an increase in output in all facets of the game on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Toronto Raptors's subpar 104.8 points per game while at home settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.

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