Jamal Shead Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Jamal Shead

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Shead

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 12:24 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Shead Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Shead has successfully made 68.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 19.2% higher than he's put through the net overall this season with the home court advantage.
Jamal Shead has successfully made 52.5% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 19.0% more than he's made from downtown overall this year.
The 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Jamal Shead will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improve player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Raptors rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Magic have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Raptors.

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