Jamal Shead Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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Jamal Shead

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Shead

G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 12:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Shead Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Shead has put up 3.2 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric over this stretch: 79th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Shead places in the 21st percentile for playing time, registering just 15.2 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Toronto Raptors will likely experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
Jamal Shead will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player production across the board.

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