Jamal Shead Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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Jamal Shead

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Shead

G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 13, 2024 1:09 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Shead Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Shead has tallied 3.7 assists per game this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category over this stretch of games.
The Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Jamal Shead has averaged 14.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 20th percentile -- some of the lowest playing time of any player in the league.
The Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from competing against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
Jamal Shead will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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