Jamal Murray Steals - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Steals

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Murray Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+186/-245).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +200 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +186.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has posted 1.1 steals per game on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard.
Jamal Murray has averaged 32.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 88th percentile.

Favors Under

Jamal Murray has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Wizards have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Nuggets.
Jamal Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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