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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 4/13/2025

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has made 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season without the home court advantage.

Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray ranks in the 98th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 36.3 minutes per game this year.

The Denver Nuggets will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from competing against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the league while playing on the road with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Jamal Murray has converted 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's sunk in all games this season on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have compiled 12.8 points per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, labeling this as a challenging matchup for offensive performance.

The 5th-least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.

The matchup against Houston may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 1.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Houston Rockets are at home (least in the NBA).

Jamal Murray will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to lower player performance for all stats.

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