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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 5/4/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has attempted 24.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Jamal Murray has averaged 40.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.

In regard to offense, the Nuggets's excellent 115.8 points per game ranks 2nd-most in the league over the last 10 games.

Jamal Murray has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 16.8% more than he's converted over the course of the season on his home court.

Jamal Murray will likely get a boost in effectiveness for all stats on account of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing starting PGs have compiled the lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (39.8%).

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.

The Nuggets are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 20 games (the Timberwolves).

The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the league).

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