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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 4/12/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jamal Murray has attempted 16.6 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.
  • Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 31.7 minutes per game this year.
  • The matchup against the Spurs is a positive one for scoring; opposing starting PGs have posted the highest field goal rate in the league this year (50.2%).
  • The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Nuggets.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 6th-best in the NBA away from their home court with 11.4 offensive boards per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Compared to last season's 6.8 clip, Jamal Murray's shot attempts from downtown have dropped this season to 5.7 per game.
  • In regard to offense, the Nuggets's lackluster 110.6 points per game while playing away from home measures as the 9th-fewest in the league this year.
  • The 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
  • Jamal Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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