Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2024

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 10, 2024

Updated Apr 11, 2024 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray rates in the 92nd percentile for shots while on his home court, logging 16.3 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray registers in the 81st percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 31.1 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one for scoring; opposing starting PGs have shot for the lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (39.8%).
As a team, the Nuggets have been bad at getting to the foul line: 2nd-worst in the league this year, tallying a mere 19.9 foul shot attempts per game.
Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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