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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 2/29/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has successfully made 9.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games at home, 2.0 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year with the home court advantage.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray ranks in the 91st percentile for three-point shots scored, tallying 2.4 per game this year.

Jamal Murray has tallied 30.8 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have posted 23.1 points per game (27th-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness.

The Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray registers in the 86th percentile for technical fouls, registering a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.

As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Nuggets's poor 20.5 free throw attempts per game comes in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

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