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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has made 59.8% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 12.1% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season while playing at home.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

The Orlando Magic have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray has converted 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Jamal Murray ought to get a boost in efficiency for all stats on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jamal Murray has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (95th percentile).

The matchup vs. Orlando is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 13th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.9).

The Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Nuggets are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from competing against the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Magic).

In regard to getting to the foul line, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 20.5 foul shots per game comes in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

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