Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 2, 2024 1:57 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -134 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has attempted 14.0 shots per game while at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.
Jamal Murray has successfully made 47.0% of his attempts from downtown while at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Jamal Murray will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to increase stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jamal Murray has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (95th percentile).
The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a challenging one for shot attempts from the field; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 15th-least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.3).
The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have come down with 12.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets (preserving possessions that can bring about more chances for offense).

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