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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 12/25/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-180/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray places in the 89th percentile for 3-point proficiency at home with a an outstanding 46.7% rate this year.

The matchup against Golden State is a positive one; when the Golden State Warriors are the visiting team, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (24.4).

The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Warriors (turning over possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).

Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray comes in at the 85th percentile for free-throw ability with the home court advantage with a a great 92.9% rate this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jamal Murray has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (97th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.

As a team, the Nuggets have been bad at drawing fouls: 4th-worst in the league this year, averaging a lowly 20.3 free throw attempts per game.

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