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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 12/8/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Since the start of last season when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 37.7% on threes (28th-highest in the NBA) against the Rockets, branding this as a strong matchup.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 7thbest in in the league with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

With the home court advantage, the Houston Rockets have given up the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (23rd-most in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, easily managing to draw fouls.

Jamal Murray is expected to see a rise in output in all facets of the game on account of holding the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jamal Murray has attempted just 14.3 shots from the field per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 17.1 mark last year.

In contrast to last year's 2.7 mark, Jamal Murray's 3-pointers sunk have been reduced this year to 2.1 per game.

Relative to last season's 34.0 rate, Jamal Murray's playing time has dropped this season to 29.2 minutes per game.

Jamal Murray has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's averaged overall this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA as the visting team this year.

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