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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).

The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on their home court, the other team has captured 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (shortening possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (26th-most in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.

This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 40.3% on field goal attempts (12th-weakest in the league) vs. the Kings, creating a tough matchup.

The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

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