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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 6/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-105/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has converted 11.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Jamal Murray has attempted 8.9 threes per game over the last 15 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Jamal Murray has averaged 41.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jamal Murray has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this season.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The matchup against Miami is a difficult one; when the Heat are the visiting team, they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (16.2).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

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