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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 4/19/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has attempted 9.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games at home, 2.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

Jamal Murray has played 32.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Timberwolves are on the road, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 30th-most field goals per game in the NBA this year (7.5).

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should raise opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.

The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been poor at getting to the free throw line: 7th-worst in the league this year with a measly 22.3 free throws per game.

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