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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jamal Murray has successfully made 3.5 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's converted in all games this year.
  • Jamal Murray has played 32.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 88th percentile.
  • The matchup against the Rockets is a positive one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (22.0).
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Jamal Murray has successfully made 88.4% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 7.8% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year when playing away from home.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games in terms of 3-point attempts.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
  • The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.
  • Playing at home, the Rockets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jamal Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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