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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has successfully made 58.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 18.3% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year.

Jamal Murray has attempted 9.9 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 3.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Jamal Murray has tallied 32.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year.

The matchup against Golden State is a good one for threes; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have compiled the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

While on the road, the Warriors have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: 9th-worst in the league this year, totaling a lowly 22.4 foul shot attempts per game.

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