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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2023

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has averaged 19.9 points per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 92nd percentile.

Jamal Murray has attempted 6.2 shots from downtown per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Jamal Murray has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 86th percentile.

The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a good one; when the Clippers are the visiting team, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (19.7).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Clippers have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Clippers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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