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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 2/2/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has averaged 24.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year.

Jamal Murray has successfully made 3.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season.

Jamal Murray has tallied 31.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games playing at home.

The Warriors have played at the fastest pace in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jamal Murray has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (78th percentile).

This matchup is a difficult one for three-pointers; opposing teams have shot for the lowest three rate in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road (40.4%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Warriors is a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a mere 26.2 foul shots per game this year (least in the league).

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